RMH 5-4

Risk Management Handbook (FAA-H-8083-2A)recalculated risk levels are shown on one sheet showing the before and after. When the conditions change significantly, such as for rescheduling or a change of aircraft, the pilot would normally redo the risk analysis using a fresh worksheet. 12169 Flight Risk Assessment Tool PAVE Area Hazard Risk Likelihood Severity Composite Risk Mitigation Results Pilot “P” Aircraft “A” Environment “V” External Pressure “E” Capability Aeromedical Not IFR proficient Alcohol and lack of sleep LOC Fatigue related errors remote occasional catastrophic critical Fuel/Range/Payload Equipment Cannot carry full fuel Not certified for known ice Fuel exhaustion LOC remote occasional catastrophic catastrophic Performance Marginal takeoff performance Overrun, LOC, or CFIT occasional critical Personal & Business Meeting deadlines for myself and Ms. Smith Increased risk in all other categories probable catastrophic high high high high high serious serious serious serious Weather Terrain Thunderstorms, icing, low ceilings High terrain LOC and CFIT CFIT occasional occasional catastrophic catastrophic Airspace, ATC, Airports High density altitude CFIT occasional catastrophic Add 500' to minimums improbable/catastrophic now medium No alcohol/adequate rest remote/marginal now medium Avoid icing conditions remote/marginal now medium Add fuel stop improbable/negligible now low Brief Smiths, depart Monday AM, shuttle Smiths to KDRO, Add fuel stop improbable/negligible now low Depart from KDRO remote/marginal now medium Deviate south improbable/critical now medium Fly well south of front remote/critical now medium Depart from KDRO remote/marginal now medium Figure 5-2. Case study FRAT with risks mitigated. 12170 Of the nine risks assessed, she originally assessed four as high (red) and five as serious (yellow). According to her analysis and mitigations, the risk for the current plan has seven medium (green) and two low (white) risks. 12171 Tricia meets with the Smiths. They agree with the early departure from Durango and the other mitigations. Matt Smith makes a few phone calls and returns with word that all of Monday’s festivities will go forward, but without the Smiths in attendance. 12172 This risk mitigations used for the flight include the following: 12173 1. Adding a safety margin to personal minimums for instrument approaches; 12174 2. Abstaining from alcohol consumption, eating properly, and getting sufficient sleep; 12175 3. Reducing the departure fuel load and adding a fuel stop; 12176 4. Rescheduling to depart a day early; 12177 5. Departing with passengers from the Durango – La Plata County Airport, rather than from Animas Air Park; and 12178 6. Flying along a more southerly route to avoid weather hazards. 12180 While on the ground in Daggett, CA for the planned fuel stop, Tricia checks the weather, which shows that the fog and low ceilings are persisting at Santa Rosa. She understands the potential consequences of slightly elevated risk if making an ILS approach with a 200- to 300-foot ceiling, and confirms her risk analysis remains valid by noting that her alternate, Sacramento Executive Airport, is reporting clear skies as forecast. She prepares her EFB for the possible diversion to Sacramento and reviews the airport information. This preparation alleviates the stress she may feel about diverting. She relieves external pressures by discussing a potential diversion with the Smiths, who indicate they will accept whatever decision she makes. 12181 Within an hour after departure, the fog at Santa Rosa has lifted, and she executes a routine landing. 12182 Several days later, Tricia receives a complementary note from the Smiths praising her consideration for safety. Balanced Approach to Risk Management 12183 The hypothetical case study used in Chapters 3 through 5 represents a moderately complex scenario covering the flight of a general aviation aircraft on a transportation flight. 12184 It is appropriate to conduct a full risk management process for any flight, including the use of a FRAT. However, for less complex flights, such as a flight in the vicinity of the airport on a sunny day with no wind, the completion of a FRAT may not be necessary. 12185 To enhance risk management accuracy and skill, consider the following steps: 12186 • Take risk management and SRM courses. 12187 • Obtain risk management training from a flight or ground instructor.