RMH 3-11

Risk Management Handbook (FAA-H-8083-2A)11872 1. The form may not cover all the hazards for a particular flight. 11873 2. The range of scores for each risk level may appear arbitrary, leading a pilot to question the results. 11874 3. The form does not encourage the pilot to analyze each hazard. For example, what is the likelihood the condition will lead to an accident and what is the potential accident severity? 11875 4. The form may indicate an overall low level of risk, leading the pilot to ignore the implications of a particular hazard. Narrative FRATs 11876 This type of FRAT asks the user to identify hazards and associate each hazard with risk. While taking more time to complete, it addresses many of the disadvantages of a numerical FRAT. After identifying the hazards, the process includes a thorough analysis and management of each risk. 11877 The following example of a narrative FRAT has the pilot determine the likelihood and severity for each hazard identified using the PAVE checklist [Figure 3-6]. After further analysis, the pilot can determine how to manage each risk. This concept will be explored further in the next chapter. 11878 Flight Risk Assessment Tool PAVE Area Hazard Risk Likelihood Severity Composite Risk Mitigation Results Pilot “P” Aircraft “A” Environment “V” External Pressure “E” Capability Aeromedical Fuel/Range/Payload Equipment Performance Personal Business Weather Terrain Airspace, ATC, Airports Night/Over Water Figure 3-7. Example Flight Risk Assessment Tool. Case Study 11883 One way to understand the risk management process is to put it in a real-world context using a case study. The following example will be used in this chapter, as well as Chapters 4 and 5, to illustrate a process to identify hazards, assess the associated risks, and mitigate the risks as needed. Background and Setting 11884 It is early on Friday, July 1, and Tricia just finished a successful week of consulting for clients in Portland, Boise, Dallas, and Albuquerque. She flew to these locations from her home base in Santa Rosa, California (KSTS) using her single-engine airplane. She had planned to return directly to Santa Rosa, but yesterday evening, her friends from Santa Rosa, Matt and Martha Smith, invited her to spend the weekend in Durango, Colorado where they have a condominium. She gladly accepted their invitation because she would enjoy seeing them. 11885 The flight from Albuquerque to Durango during the day on Friday goes smoothly. Tricia lands at the Animas Air Park (00C), rather than the Durango-La Plata County Airport (KDRO) because the Smith’s condo is less than a mile from Animas Air Park, toward town. Figure 3-8 shows a sectional chart excerpt from the Durango area.